We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Sampdoria
While Fiorentina's fluctuating form shows they tend to bounce back well from the setback of a defeat, they take on a Sampdoria side full of confidence on Tuesday.
Vlahovic is bound to cause problems for the visitors, but we back I Blucerchiati to leave with a hard-fought point as their improvement continues.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.