As Fiorentina are distracted by European commitments, it could be a good time for Udinese to make the trip to Tuscany and add to their away-points tally. While the visitors are not fully fit and firing up front, their hosts have been leaking goals of late and will surely concede at least once on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fiorentina in this match.
0.06) 
-0.03) 
