SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 77.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sampdoria |
77.73% ( -0.12) | 14.61% ( 0.05) | 7.66% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.35% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.4% ( 0.06) | 38.6% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.1% ( 0.07) | 60.9% ( -0.07) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.89% ( -0.01) | 8.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.51% ( -0.03) | 28.49% ( 0.03) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.27% ( 0.24) | 51.73% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.17% ( 0.16) | 85.83% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 2-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.14% Total : 77.72% | 1-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.59% Total : 14.61% | 0-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 7.66% |
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