Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Basel had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Basel win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Basel
62.98% ( -0)	19.95% ( 0)	17.06% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.48% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.24% (

-0.02)

38.75% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.93% (

-0.02)

61.06% (

0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.25% (

-0.01)

11.74% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.11% (

-0.01)

36.89% (

0.01)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.99% (

-0.01)

36.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.21% (

-0.01)

72.78% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 62.98%

Basel 17.06%

Draw 19.95%

Fiorentina	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 4.06% Total : 62.98%	1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.95%	1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.06%