SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Basel had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Basel win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Basel |
62.98% ( -0) | 19.95% ( 0) | 17.06% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.24% ( -0.02) | 38.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.93% ( -0.02) | 61.06% ( 0.02) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.25% ( -0.01) | 11.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.11% ( -0.01) | 36.89% ( 0.01) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% ( -0.01) | 36.01% ( 0.01) |
