Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Basel had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Basel win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Basel |
62.98% (![]() | 19.95% (![]() | 17.06% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.24% (![]() | 38.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.93% (![]() | 61.06% (![]() |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.25% (![]() | 11.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.11% (![]() | 36.89% (![]() |
Basel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.99% (![]() | 36.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.21% (![]() | 72.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Basel |
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.7% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 4.06% Total : 62.98% | 1-1 @ 9.25% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.95% | 1-2 @ 4.72% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.06% |
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