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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
FL

Genoa
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Destro (13')
Strootman (2'), Zajc (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vlahovic (23')
Iachini (52'), Pulgar (90+5')
Ribery (52')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawFiorentina
26.07%25.71%48.22%
Both teams to score 50.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.3%52.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.66%74.34%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85%35.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.1%71.9%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13%21.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89%55.11%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 26.07%
    Fiorentina 48.22%
    Draw 25.7%
GenoaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.04%
2-1 @ 6.39%
2-0 @ 4.2%
3-1 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 1.69%
3-0 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 26.07%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 9.29%
0-2 @ 8.88%
1-3 @ 4.71%
0-3 @ 4.5%
2-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.79%
0-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 48.22%

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