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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 17, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
FL

Sassuolo
3 - 1
Fiorentina

Berardi (59' pen., 62' pen.), Lopez (75')
Traore (13'), Lopez (45+1'), Muldur (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bonaventura (31')
Castrovilli (15'), Milenkovic (28'), Biraghi (68'), Eysseric (81'), Pulgar (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
44.21%23.92%31.88%
Both teams to score 60.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29%41.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89%64.11%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88%19.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.26%50.74%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65%25.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86%60.14%
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 44.21%
    Fiorentina 31.88%
    Draw 23.92%
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 5.02%
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 3.45%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 44.21%
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-1 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 31.88%

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