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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Dec 20, 2020 at 2pm UK
San Siro
SC

Inter Milan
2 - 1
Spezia

Hakimi (52'), Lukaku (71' pen.)
Brozovic (18'), Conte (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Piccoli (90+4')
N'Zola (41'), Terzi (42')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
63.59%19.51%16.9%
Both teams to score 57.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04%36.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.85%59.15%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.95%11.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.61%35.39%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9%35.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15%71.85%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 63.59%
    Spezia 16.9%
    Draw 19.51%
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 9.41%
1-0 @ 8.54%
3-1 @ 7.24%
3-0 @ 6.91%
4-1 @ 3.98%
4-0 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 3.79%
4-2 @ 2.09%
5-1 @ 1.76%
5-0 @ 1.68%
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 63.59%
1-1 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 5.16%
0-0 @ 3.88%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.51%
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-1 @ 4.06%
0-2 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.8%
1-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 16.9%

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