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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 2pm UK
San Siro
UL

Inter Milan
5 - 1
Udinese

Young (8'), Eriksen (44'), Martinez (55' pen.), Perisic (64'), Lukaku (71')
Martinez (26')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pereyra (79' pen.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 66.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 15.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
66.18%18.78%15.05%
Both teams to score 55.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.81%37.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.61%59.39%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.55%10.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.94%34.06%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5%37.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.71%74.29%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 66.18%
    Udinese 15.05%
    Draw 18.78%
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.85%
3-0 @ 7.53%
3-1 @ 7.38%
4-0 @ 4.25%
4-1 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-2 @ 2.04%
5-0 @ 1.92%
5-1 @ 1.88%
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 66.18%
1-1 @ 8.68%
2-2 @ 4.81%
0-0 @ 3.92%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.78%
1-2 @ 4.26%
0-1 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.57%
1-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 15.05%

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