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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
RL

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Roma

Brozovic (11'), Vecino (20'), Lukaku (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mkhitaryan (31')
Darboe (6'), Santon (28'), Kumbulla (71'), Karsdorp (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Roma had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Roma win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawRoma
61.39%19.96%18.65%
Both teams to score 59.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64%36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.9%58.1%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.66%11.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.97%36.03%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39%32.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85%69.15%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 61.39%
    Roma 18.65%
    Draw 19.96%
Inter MilanDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 8.76%
1-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 7.12%
3-0 @ 6.36%
3-2 @ 3.99%
4-1 @ 3.88%
4-0 @ 3.46%
4-2 @ 2.17%
5-1 @ 1.69%
5-0 @ 1.51%
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 9.02%
2-2 @ 5.5%
0-0 @ 3.7%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.96%
1-2 @ 5.06%
0-1 @ 4.15%
0-2 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 18.65%

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