Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.