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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
ML

Lazio
1 - 2
AC Milan

Immobile (4')
Strakosha (8'), Leiva (53'), Cataldi (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Giroud (50'), Tonali (90+2')
Tomori (26'), Kalulu (83'), Ibrahimovic (85'), Tonali (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 1-0 AC Milan

There is little to choose between two of the teams to have kept the most clean sheets in 2022 - nine for Milan and six for Lazio (who are joint-second in that regard) - so goals could be at a premium. The Rossoneri are under more intense pressure than their Roman rivals and may crack at some point, which would have serious consequences for their dreams of the Scudetto. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawAC Milan
36.97%25.99%37.04%
Both teams to score 54.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.88%50.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.91%72.09%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65%26.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51%61.49%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69%26.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56%61.44%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 36.97%
    AC Milan 37.04%
    Draw 25.99%
LazioDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 36.97%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.26%
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-2 @ 6.18%
1-3 @ 3.67%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 37.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Torino
Saturday, April 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-4 Lazio
Sunday, April 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, April 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Lazio
Sunday, March 20 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Venezia
Monday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-3 Lazio
Saturday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, April 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Genoa
Friday, April 15 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 AC Milan
Sunday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-0 Bologna
Monday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, March 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Empoli
Saturday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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