Neither side is particularly secure at the back, with both Tudor and Sarri espousing attack-first philosophies, so an entertaining evening could be in store.
As the stakes are relatively low, a carefree attitude is likely to result in goals for both teams, but Lazio never know when they are beaten and can come back to win even if they go behind.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
0.17) 
-0.42) 
