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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 19, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
RL

Hellas Verona
3 - 2
Roma

Barak (49'), Caprari (54'), Faraoni (63')
Faraoni (30'), Barak (51'), Hongla (83'), Casale (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pellegrini (36'), Ilic (58' og.)
Veretout (18'), Cristante (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 2-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawRoma
21.48%22.4%56.12%
Both teams to score 55.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.8%43.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.4%65.6%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01%33.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33%70.67%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.77%15.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.11%43.89%
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 21.48%
    Roma 56.12%
    Draw 22.39%
Hellas VeronaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 5.67%
1-0 @ 5.59%
2-0 @ 3.01%
3-1 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.92%
3-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 21.48%
1-1 @ 10.51%
2-2 @ 5.34%
0-0 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.39%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-1 @ 9.74%
0-2 @ 9.17%
1-3 @ 6.21%
0-3 @ 5.75%
2-3 @ 3.35%
1-4 @ 2.92%
0-4 @ 2.71%
2-4 @ 1.58%
1-5 @ 1.1%
0-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 56.12%

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