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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 26, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
RL

Lazio
3 - 2
Roma

Milinkovic-Savic (10'), Pedro (19'), Anderson (63')
Leiva (25'), Cataldi (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ibanez (41'), Veretout (69' pen.)
Patricio (11'), Cristante (45+2'), Vina (48'), Mourinho (61'), Veretout (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawRoma
44.88%23.45%31.67%
Both teams to score 61.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.43%39.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.08%61.92%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02%17.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.18%48.82%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56%24.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13%58.87%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 44.88%
    Roma 31.67%
    Draw 23.45%
LazioDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.12%
1-0 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.67%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 6.42%
0-0 @ 4.39%
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-1 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 4.36%
1-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.67%

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