Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.