Due to an upheaval in personnel - plus a series of injuries and suspensions - Juve may struggle to settle in to the new Serie A season at the first attempt, and it would be no surprise if they fail to take three points.
Sassuolo regularly recover from losing their best players - including Manuel Locatelli to their hosts - so remain good value for a first-day draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
-0.09) 
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