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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Jun 30, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
LL

Torino
1 - 2
Lazio

Belotti (5' pen.)
Verdi (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Immobile (48'), Parolo (72')
Immobile (4'), Caicedo (29'), Lukaku (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.78%. A win for Torino had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Torino win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lazio in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawLazio
25.47%22.74%51.78%
Both teams to score 59.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54%40.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.16%62.83%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91%29.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.99%65%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27%15.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17%44.82%
Score Analysis
    Torino 25.47%
    Lazio 51.78%
    Draw 22.75%
TorinoDrawLazio
2-1 @ 6.45%
1-0 @ 5.65%
2-0 @ 3.49%
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 25.47%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-1 @ 8.46%
0-2 @ 7.83%
1-3 @ 5.96%
0-3 @ 4.83%
2-3 @ 3.68%
1-4 @ 2.76%
0-4 @ 2.23%
2-4 @ 1.7%
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 51.78%


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