SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Hellas Verona |
36.9% ( 1.95) | 26.02% ( 0.61) | 37.08% ( -2.56) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( -1.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% ( -2.52) | 50.23% ( 2.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( -2.28) | 72.19% ( 2.28) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( -0.05) | 26.44% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% ( -0.07) | 61.61% ( 0.07) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( -2.53) | 26.34% ( 2.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.52% ( -3.5) | 61.48% ( 3.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.59)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.33% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.68)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.37)0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.46)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.31)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.08% |
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