SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Lecce |
34.51% ( -0.02) | 28.73% ( -0.08) | 36.75% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 45.6% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.08% ( 0.28) | 60.91% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.06% ( 0.21) | 80.93% ( -0.21) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( 0.13) | 33.19% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.2% ( 0.15) | 69.8% ( -0.15) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.26% ( 0.2) | 31.73% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.84% ( 0.23) | 68.16% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.51% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.74% |
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