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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
LL

Hellas Verona
2 - 2
Lecce

Ngonge (41'), Djuric (77')
Duda (3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Oudin (30'), Gonzalez (69')
Dorgu (5'), Banda (23')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, November 11 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 1-1 Lecce

Verona have netted only four goals at the Bentegodi, while Lecce have scored five times on the road in as many attempts, meaning a draw could be on the cards in round 13's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawLecce
34.51% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 28.73% (-0.081 -0.08) 36.75% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 45.6% (0.228 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.08% (0.276 0.28)60.91% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06% (0.206 0.21)80.93% (-0.21000000000001 -0.21)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (0.133 0.13)33.19% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2% (0.146 0.15)69.8% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.202 0.2)31.73% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (0.232 0.23)68.16% (-0.235 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 34.51%
    Lecce 36.74%
    Draw 28.72%
Hellas VeronaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 11.61% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.7% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.51%
1-1 @ 13.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.53% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 12.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 36.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Hellas Verona
Friday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-3 Monza
Sunday, November 5 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona
Tuesday, October 31 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, October 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-3 Napoli
Saturday, October 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, November 11 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, November 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-4 Parma
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Torino
Saturday, October 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Lecce
Monday, October 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Sassuolo
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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