Verona have exceeded expectations so far this season, but Torino are looking lively under new management and could sneak away from the Bentegodi with three points. Victory would keep Toro among the early front-runners in Serie A, as they pursue a long-awaited return to Europe for next season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Torino
33.35% ( -0)	27.08% ( -0)	39.58% ( 0)

Both teams to score 50.33% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.05% (

54.95% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.77% (

76.23% (

-0)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.08%

30.92% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.79%

67.21%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.86% (

27.14% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.46% (

62.54% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 33.35%

Torino 39.58%

Draw 27.07%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.35%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.07%	0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.58%