Despite their woeful recent record against them, Roma have actually won two of their three previous Serie A matches versus Juventus during August - in 2015 and 2020. Such good omens count for little, though, when the game gets under way, and Juve can grind their way to a win by a solitary goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Roma
43.1% ( -0.58)	26.13% ( 0.22)	30.77% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 52.41% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.11% (

-0.77)

51.88% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.36% (

-0.67)

73.63% (

0.67)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.09% (

-0.62)

23.9% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.89% (

-0.89)

58.11% (

0.89)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88% (

-0.14)

31.12% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.55% (

-0.17)

67.45% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Juventus 43.09%

Roma 30.77%

Draw 26.12%

Juventus	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.09%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.77%