Despite their woeful recent record against them, Roma have actually won two of their three previous Serie A matches versus Juventus during August - in 2015 and 2020. Such good omens count for little, though, when the game gets under way, and Juve can grind their way to a win by a solitary goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
-0.58) 
0.22) 
