Another turgid display from Juventus at the weekend suggests that any improvement will have to wait until their top talents return to the squad, so they will do well to grind out a draw against the high-flying Eagles. The hosts are unlikely to take the game to their visitors either, and may have to settle for a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Benfica in this match.
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