SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lazio | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Juventus | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Torino | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 6 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Braga | 6 | 16 | 16 |
| 3 | Porto | 6 | 11 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Benfica in this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Benfica |
31.26% ( -0.06) | 24.5% ( 0.03) | 44.24% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.02% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( -0.15) | 44.68% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( -0.15) | 67.05% ( 0.14) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( -0.11) | 27.19% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.4% ( -0.15) | 62.6% ( 0.14) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( -0.05) | 20.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.31% ( -0.08) | 52.69% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 31.26% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 44.24% |
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