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NL
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio San Paolo
FL

Napoli
6 - 0
Fiorentina

Insigne (5', 72' pen.), Demme (36'), Lozano (38'), Zielinski (45'), Politano (89')
Insigne (51')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawFiorentina
66.7%18.85%14.45%
Both teams to score 54.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12%38.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.8%61.2%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.2%10.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.17%34.83%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.62%39.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.92%76.08%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 66.7%
    Fiorentina 14.45%
    Draw 18.85%
NapoliDrawFiorentina
2-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 9.82%
1-0 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 7.82%
3-1 @ 7.28%
4-0 @ 4.35%
4-1 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 3.39%
5-0 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.89%
5-1 @ 1.81%
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 66.7%
1-1 @ 8.82%
2-2 @ 4.57%
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.85%
1-2 @ 4.11%
0-1 @ 3.96%
0-2 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.42%
1-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 14.45%

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