Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
