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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 10, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Friuli
NL

Udinese
1 - 2
Napoli

Lasagna (27')
Arslan (44'), Samir (67'), Zeegelaar (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Insigne (15' pen.), Bakayoko (90')
Di Lorenzo (37'), Gattuso (52')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawNapoli
16.98%20.81%62.22%
Both teams to score 53.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14%42.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74%65.26%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41%38.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66%75.34%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.78%13.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.04%39.96%
Score Analysis
    Udinese 16.98%
    Napoli 62.21%
    Draw 20.81%
UdineseDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 4.86%
2-1 @ 4.68%
2-0 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 1.5%
3-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 16.98%
1-1 @ 9.83%
0-0 @ 5.1%
2-2 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.81%
0-2 @ 10.44%
0-1 @ 10.32%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 7.05%
1-3 @ 6.71%
0-4 @ 3.57%
1-4 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 3.19%
2-4 @ 1.62%
0-5 @ 1.44%
1-5 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 62.21%

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