Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match.
