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NL
Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 6, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
SC

Napoli
1 - 2
Spezia

Petagna (58')
Di Lorenzo (87'), Manolas (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
N'Zola (68' pen.), Pobega (82')
Ismajli (61'), Pobega (65'), Maggiore (72'), Terzi (88')
Ismajli (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawSpezia
69.92%17.26%12.82%
Both teams to score 55.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.87%35.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.86%57.14%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.99%9.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.31%30.69%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7%39.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24%76%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 69.91%
    Spezia 12.82%
    Draw 17.26%
NapoliDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.58%
1-0 @ 8.52%
3-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 7.69%
4-0 @ 4.95%
4-1 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 3.59%
5-0 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 2.16%
5-2 @ 1.04%
6-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 69.91%
1-1 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 4.47%
0-0 @ 3.54%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.26%
1-2 @ 3.72%
0-1 @ 3.31%
0-2 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.39%
1-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 12.82%

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