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CL
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Jan 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
NL

Cagliari
1 - 4
Napoli

Pedro (60')
Lykogiannis (30'), Sottil (53'), Caligara (85')
Lykogiannis (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zielinski (25', 62'), Lozano (74'), Insigne (86' pen.)
Zielinski (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.14%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawNapoli
15.85%20%64.14%
Both teams to score 53.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.69%41.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29%63.71%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96%39.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24%75.76%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.81%12.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.16%37.84%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 15.86%
    Napoli 64.13%
    Draw 20%
CagliariDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 4.48%
2-1 @ 4.43%
2-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.46%
3-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 15.86%
1-1 @ 9.42%
0-0 @ 4.76%
2-2 @ 4.66%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20%
0-2 @ 10.53%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 7.4%
1-3 @ 6.96%
0-4 @ 3.89%
1-4 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 3.27%
2-4 @ 1.72%
0-5 @ 1.64%
1-5 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 64.13%

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