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NL
Serie A | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
ML

Napoli
1 - 3
AC Milan

Mertens (63')
Bakayoko (16'), Rui (81')
Bakayoko (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ibrahimovic (20', 54'), Petter Hauge (90+5')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawAC Milan
42.47%24.48%33.05%
Both teams to score 58.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.1%43.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.71%66.28%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22%20.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57%53.43%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31%25.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39%60.6%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 42.47%
    AC Milan 33.05%
    Draw 24.47%
NapoliDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 8.96%
1-0 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.47%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-1 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 4.93%
1-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.05%


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