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PL
Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
GL

Parma
1 - 2
Genoa

Pelle (16')
Bani (19'), Pezzella (57'), Pelle (72'), Brugman (78'), Kucka (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Scamacca (50', 69')
Ballardini (58'), Radovanovic (73'), Biraschi (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawGenoa
42.61%27.8%29.59%
Both teams to score 46.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.33%58.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.78%79.21%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77%27.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.34%62.65%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46%35.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69%72.31%
Score Analysis
    Parma 42.61%
    Genoa 29.58%
    Draw 27.79%
ParmaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 12.58%
2-1 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 8.19%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 42.61%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.68%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.79%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 29.58%

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