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PL
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 14, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
RL

Parma
2 - 0
Roma

Mihaila (9'), Hernani (55' pen.)
Osorio (23'), Hernani (66'), Karamoh (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Peres (32'), Pellegrini (54'), Dzeko (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Parma had a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawRoma
16.6%20.59%62.8%
Both teams to score 53.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43%42.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02%64.98%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.13%38.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.39%75.6%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.04%12.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.57%39.43%
Score Analysis
    Parma 16.6%
    Roma 62.8%
    Draw 20.59%
ParmaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 4.76%
2-1 @ 4.59%
2-0 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.48%
3-1 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 16.6%
1-1 @ 9.72%
0-0 @ 5.04%
2-2 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.59%
0-2 @ 10.51%
0-1 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-3 @ 7.17%
1-3 @ 6.77%
0-4 @ 3.66%
1-4 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 3.2%
2-4 @ 1.63%
0-5 @ 1.5%
1-5 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 62.8%

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