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FL
Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
PL

Fiorentina
3 - 3
Parma

Martinez (28'), Milenkovic (42'), Iacoponi (90+4' og.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kucka (32' pen.), Kurtic (72'), Mihaila (90')
Kucka (56'), Pezzella (62'), Bani (80')
D'Aversa (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Parma had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawParma
49.81%25%25.18%
Both teams to score 52.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.44%50.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52%72.48%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.31%52.69%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26%34.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53%71.47%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 49.81%
    Parma 25.18%
    Draw 25%
FiorentinaDrawParma
1-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 8.96%
3-1 @ 5.04%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 49.81%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 7.06%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.46%
1-2 @ 6.29%
0-2 @ 3.94%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 25.18%

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