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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
PL

Hellas Verona
2 - 1
Parma

Grassi (13' og.), Barak (62')
Silvestri (7'), Dimarco (39'), Gunter (52'), Lovato (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kucka (8' pen.)
Cornelius (36'), Mihaila (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Parma had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawParma
53.51%23.4%23.09%
Both teams to score 54.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23%45.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91%68.09%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96%17.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.8%47.2%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05%33.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38%70.62%
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 53.5%
    Parma 23.09%
    Draw 23.4%
Hellas VeronaDrawParma
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.06%
3-1 @ 5.77%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.55%
4-0 @ 2.36%
4-2 @ 1.38%
5-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3%
Total : 53.5%
1-1 @ 11.06%
0-0 @ 5.79%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.4%
0-1 @ 6.25%
1-2 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.09%

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