Each of the last nine matches between the first and last team in the table has ended with a win for the leaders of Serie A, and that run stretching back to May 2016 is set to continue.
Despite hiring a range of fresh faces in the transfer window - and now adding a new manager following their change of ownership - Salernitana fall far short of Milan's standards, and the Rossoneri can pick off the hosts through numerous attacking threats across the pitch.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
