AC Milan
1 - 2
Spezia

Leao (45+1')
Kalulu (22'), Gabbia (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Agudelo (64'), Gyasi (90+6')
Gyasi (19'), Kiwior (32'), Provedel (44'), Maggiore (65'), Bastoni (90+2')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Spezia have won their last two Serie A matches on their travels, but we are finding it difficult to back the visitors to triumph here. Milan need to win to stay in touch with the leaders, and we are expecting the home side to secure all three points courtesy of a two-goal success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 76.88%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 8.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.52%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Spezia
76.88%	14.78%	8.33%

Both teams to score 47.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.14%

36.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.96%

59.04%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.1%

7.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.06%

27.94%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.12%

48.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.14%

83.86%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 76.86%

Spezia 8.33%

Draw 14.78%

AC Milan	Draw	Spezia
2-0 @ 12.43% 3-0 @ 10.52% 1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 7.54% 4-0 @ 6.68% 4-1 @ 4.79% 5-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.7% 5-1 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.71% 6-0 @ 1.44% 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.5% Total : 76.86%	1-1 @ 7.01% 0-0 @ 3.86% 2-2 @ 3.19% Other @ 0.72% Total : 14.78%	0-1 @ 2.76% 1-2 @ 2.51% 0-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.07% Total : 8.33%