Though recent arrivals may have freshened things up at the club, Sampdoria have failed to score in either of their last two away matches in Serie A, and could be set to do so for three successive games for the first time since 2018.
Milan have begun to recover from the loss of defensive lynchpin Simon Kjaer in the back four, and with Giroud possibly starting one of his hot streaks, there is significant potential for goals up front.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 8.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.46%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
