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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 18, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Arechi
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Salernitana
0 - 1
Atalanta


Djuric (45'), Ranieri (60'), Obi (73'), Jaroszynski (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zapata (75')
Maehle (16'), Toloi (38'), Demiral (45'), Malinovskyi (56')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawAtalanta BC
20.19%22.3%57.51%
Both teams to score 54.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52%44.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15%66.84%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.01%35.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.23%72.77%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79%15.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15%43.85%
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 20.19%
    Atalanta BC 57.5%
    Draw 22.3%
SalernitanaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 5.59%
2-1 @ 5.38%
2-0 @ 2.86%
3-1 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.73%
3-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 20.19%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.3%
0-1 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-2 @ 9.71%
1-3 @ 6.23%
0-3 @ 6.1%
2-3 @ 3.18%
1-4 @ 2.93%
0-4 @ 2.87%
2-4 @ 1.5%
1-5 @ 1.11%
0-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 57.5%

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