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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
S

Bologna
3 - 2
Salernitana

De Silvestri (59', 77'), Arnautovic (75')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')
Soriano (50'), Schouten (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bonazzoli (52' pen.), Coulibaly (70')
Strandberg (33'), Jaroszynski (79')
Strandberg (34')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawSalernitana
50.52%23.03%26.45%
Both teams to score 59.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.11%40.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.72%63.28%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66%16.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.07%45.93%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42%28.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63%64.37%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 50.52%
    Salernitana 26.45%
    Draw 23.02%
BolognaDrawSalernitana
2-1 @ 9.6%
1-0 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 5.8%
3-0 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 2.63%
4-0 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 50.52%
1-1 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 6.64%
0-1 @ 5.85%
0-2 @ 3.66%
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 26.45%

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