Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
