Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sassuolo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sassuolo.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Spezia |
53.34% ( -0.33) | 23.38% ( 0.01) | 23.28% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 55.11% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.53% ( 0.29) | 45.46% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.2% ( 0.27) | 67.8% ( -0.28) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83% ( -0.02) | 17% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.88% ( -0.03) | 47.12% ( 0.03) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.39% ( 0.45) | 33.61% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.74% ( 0.48) | 70.25% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.34% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 23.28% |
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