SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Cremonese |
48.88% ( -0.41) | 24.31% ( 0) | 26.81% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.58% ( 0.29) | 46.42% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.3% ( 0.27) | 68.7% ( -0.27) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( -0.05) | 19.06% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.35% ( -0.09) | 50.65% ( 0.09) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% ( 0.47) | 31.21% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.45% ( 0.55) | 67.55% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.81% |
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