Though they have tightened up at the back under new management - an expected mauling by Inter aside - Salernitana are the league's lowest scorers and have found the net just 10 times on home soil this term. Therefore, their lack of attacking threat should allow Sassuolo to get forward at will; unleashing their fantastic foursome to secure a fourth win on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 55.52%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.05%) and 1-3 (6.72%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Sassuolo
23.73%	20.74%	55.52%

Both teams to score 65.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.39%

32.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.72%

54.27%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85%

26.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.77%

61.23%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.12%

11.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.82%

37.18%

Score Analysis

Salernitana 23.73%

Sassuolo 55.52%

Draw 20.74%

Salernitana	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 5.95% 1-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.84% 2-0 @ 2.79% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.12% Total : 23.73%	1-1 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 3.11% 3-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.74%	1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 6.72% 0-1 @ 6.62% 0-3 @ 5.01% 2-3 @ 4.5% 1-4 @ 3.58% 0-4 @ 2.67% 2-4 @ 2.4% 1-5 @ 1.53% 0-5 @ 1.14% 3-4 @ 1.07% 2-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.52%