Salernitana have hit their stride at the tail end of the season and will be backing themselves to stun a floundering Atalanta side who have managed just one win across all competitions in the month of April. However, given the gulf in class and quality between the two squads, we are tipping Gasperini's side to edge out the visitors and come away with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 77.66%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 8.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.44%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
