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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
LL

Sassuolo
2 - 0
Lazio

Kiriakopoulos (10'), Berardi (78' pen.)
Kiriakopoulos (50'), De Zerbi (90')
Kiriakopoulos (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Parolo (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
SassuoloDrawLazio
33.67%23.38%42.96%
Both teams to score 63.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.54%38.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.24%60.75%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24%22.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.55%56.45%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68%18.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59%49.41%
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 33.67%
    Lazio 42.96%
    Draw 23.37%
SassuoloDrawLazio
2-1 @ 7.75%
1-0 @ 6.17%
2-0 @ 4.57%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 33.67%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 6.58%
0-0 @ 4.17%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-1 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 5.03%
2-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 3.4%
1-4 @ 2.13%
2-4 @ 1.58%
0-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 42.96%

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