SPAL
0 - 3
Udinese

FT(HT: 0-2)

De Paul (18'), Okaka (35'), Lasagna (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A fixture between SPAL and Udinese, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Udinese
35.92%	25.76%	38.32%

Both teams to score 55.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.84%

49.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.77%

71.23%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5%

26.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.31%

61.69%

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85%

25.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13%

59.86%

Score Analysis

SPAL 35.92%

Udinese 38.32%

Draw 25.75%

SPAL	Draw	Udinese
1-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.21% Total : 35.92%	1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.66% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 9.2% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.32%