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SL
Serie A | Gameweek 30
Jul 5, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Luigi Ferraris
SL

Sampdoria
3 - 0
SPAL

Linetty (12', 45+3'), Gabbiadini (45')
Bertolacci (3')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Cionek (37')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawSPAL
47.81%25.6%26.58%
Both teams to score 51.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.04%51.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3%73.7%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26%21.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09%54.91%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68%34.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97%71.03%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 47.81%
    SPAL 26.58%
    Draw 25.6%
SampdoriaDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 11.38%
2-1 @ 9.29%
2-0 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-0 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 47.81%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.46%
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 6.51%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 26.58%


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