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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Jul 16, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
GL

Torino
3 - 0
Genoa

Bremer (32'), Lukic (76'), Belotti (90')
Lyanco (53'), Zaza (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Masiello (23'), Goldaniga (26')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawGenoa
37.35%25.33%37.32%
Both teams to score 56.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83%47.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59%69.41%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23%24.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.66%59.34%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22%24.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64%59.36%
Score Analysis
    Torino 37.35%
    Genoa 37.32%
    Draw 25.33%
TorinoDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 8.57%
2-1 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 37.35%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.56%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 3.88%
0-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 0.97%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 37.32%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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