Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Monza |
45.93% ( -1.02) | 23.95% ( -0.07) | 30.13% ( 1.1) |
Both teams to score 59.36% ( 0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.34% ( 0.96) | 42.67% ( -0.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.93% ( 0.95) | 65.07% ( -0.95) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.22% ( -0.03) | 18.78% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.81% ( -0.06) | 50.19% ( 0.06) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.08% ( 1.22) | 26.92% ( -1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.75% ( 1.58) | 62.25% ( -1.57) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Monza |
2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.39% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.07% Total : 30.13% |
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