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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
SL

Torino
1 - 1
Sassuolo

Sanabria (16')
Mandragora (62'), Bremer (64'), Pobega (75'), Juric (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Raspadori (88')
Rogerio (51'), Scamacca (63'), Frattesi (86')

We said: Torino 1-1 Sassuolo

Though Sassuolo have not drawn any of their last eight league matches at Stadio Olimpico di Torino, that statistical quirk may be ironed out on Sunday, as the sides play out a low-scoring draw. In those last eight Turin clashes, 31 goals have been scored by the teams in total - at a rate of nearly four per match - but Torino are a sterner proposition these days and will withstand the visitors' versatile attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TorinoDrawSassuolo
46.12%23.72%30.16%
Both teams to score 60.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42%41.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02%63.97%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73%18.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67%49.32%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64%26.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49%61.5%
Score Analysis
    Torino 46.12%
    Sassuolo 30.16%
    Draw 23.71%
TorinoDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 5.26%
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-2 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 46.12%
1-1 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-1 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.28%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.16%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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