Only two teams have more clean sheets than either Torino or Juventus in Serie A this season, and both clubs' coaches are tactically rigorous with an emphasis on organisation. Therefore, a low-scoring derby is on the cards for Saturday evening, and - as ever - Juve will come out on top.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 26.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
