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TL
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
HV

Torino
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Pobega (26')
Buongiorno (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ceccherini (28'), Simeone (65')
Magnani (25')

We said: Torino 1-1 Hellas Verona

There is little to choose between these two sides this term, and a ninth draw from 10 top-flight meetings could be on the cards this weekend. While Belotti's absence will be a blow, Torino have coped well enough without their attacking talisman on several recent occasions, and have proven their ability to keep the back door shut - which could restrict Verona to no more than a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawHellas Verona
44.66%25.4%29.94%
Both teams to score 54.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78%49.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72%71.29%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98%22.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66%55.34%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65%30.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46%66.55%
Score Analysis
    Torino 44.66%
    Hellas Verona 29.94%
    Draw 25.39%
TorinoDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 9.12%
2-0 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.66%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.68%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.94%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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